Forecast

Forecast

 

 

 

 

Variance

Variance

 

COVID

 

 

Month 7

Month 9

Movement

Movement

 

Service

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Explanation of Main Movements

Director of Families, Children & Learning

(1)

(11)

(10)

0

 

Health, SEN & Disability Services

1,966

1,987

21

0

 

Education & Skills

1,014

867

(147)

0

Mainly relates to Home to School Transport

Children's Safeguarding & Care

(1,616)

(2,049)

(433)

0

Increasing Asylum Seeker grant funding, ongoing social work vacancies and improvements in assumptions on secure placements.

Quality Assurance & Performance

4

(29)

(33)

0

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

0

 

Total Families, Children & Learning

1,367

765

(602)

0

 

Adult Social Care

3,443

2,681

(762)

(2,777)

Reduction in ongoing Covid-19 costs following long-term reviews and transition from NHS funding

S75 Sussex Partnership Foundation Trust (SPFT)

313

(35)

(348)

(1,286)

Reduction in ongoing Covid-19 costs following long-term reviews and transition from NHS funding

Integrated Commissioning

4,748

3,469

(1,279)

(1,834)

Reflects allocation of MHCLG Next Steps Accommodation Programme (NSAP) grant (Covid-19).

Public Health

0

0

0

23

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

(84)

Further financial recovery measures realised.

Total Health & Adult Social Care

8,504

6,115

(2,389)

(5,958)

 

Transport

4,588

5,199

611

583

£0.5m of the increase in the net overspend is the forecast impact of the latest lockdown on both on and off street parking income.  The forecast assumes that the substantial reduction in  seen in early January continues for the rest of 2020/21. This is after the reclaim of Sales, Fees and Charge grant. The balance is a range of smaller net changes in the outturn forecasts for the rest of Highways and Transport.

City Environmental Management

700

800

100

500

The increased forecast outturn of £0.1m is the net result of £0.2m substantially increased operational agency staff costs driven by the latest lockdown (higher levels of sickness and shielding) offset by greater efficiencies (reduced costs) in Fleet and Maintenance (£0.1m).

City Development & Regeneration

36

(50)

(86)

9

Lower than expected salaries costs and costs for Initiatives within Major Projects. There has also been some additional income received from Housing for Building Control work.

Culture, Tourism & Sport

1,671

761

(910)

(384)

Partly due to income to be received (£739k) by Brighton Centre for use as a Vaccination Centre from December to March.  There has also been further income received within Venues and Museums for the furlough scheme (£132k) which was not previously included in the forecast. The second lockdown has also caused further reductions in premises costs and casual staff expenditure. The Covid-19 movement is due to a more prudent assumption being made for the Sales, Fees and Charges grant claim.

Property

1,250

1,120

(130)

(220)

The improved forecast is the result of range of forecast movements across Property Services including forecasts for lower utilities costs and service charge reconciliations.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

0

 

Total Economy, Environment & Culture

8,245

7,830

(415)

488

 

Housing General Fund

7,988

4,479

(3,509)

(3,509)

Reflects the HNC directorate’s share of the NSAP Rough Sleeper Grant and revised costings for compliance with the grant (£3.239m). Other changes include an increase in the forecast cost of hotel accommodation £0.390m; reduction in forecast for Temporary Accommodation (TA) repairs costs (£0.750m), reduced forecast for contribution to TA bad debt provisions (£0.078m); £0.062m for extra homelessness prevention officer costs; and extra net costs of TA including food costs £0.196m.

Libraries

143

143

(0)

0

 

Communities, Equalities & Third Sector

170

169

(1)

0

Minor variances.

Safer Communities

0

(0)

(0)

0

 

Further Financial Recovery Measures

(3,150)

(3,250)

(100)

(100)

More Housing Benefit from rough sleepers

Total Housing, Neighbourhoods & Communities

5,151

1,541

(3,610)

(3,609)

 

Finance (Mobo)

(66)

(70)

(4)

0

Minor variance.

HR & Organisational Development (Mobo)

119

97

(22)

0

Additional grant funding and salary adjustments.

IT&D (Mobo)

0

0

0

0

 

Procurement (Mobo

0

0

0

0

 

Business Operations (Mobo)

97

164

67

0

Projected underachievement of staff advertising recharge income (lower activity).

Revenues & Benefits (Mobo)

376

254

(122)

(34)

New Burdens funding, reduced bank charges and Sales, Fees and Charges compensation grant.

Housing Benefit Subsidy

552

557

5

0

Minor variance.

Contribution to Orbis

186

50

(136)

0

New underspends reported in Orbis Partnership.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

0

 

Total Finance & Resources

1,264

1,052

(212)

(34)

 

Corporate Policy

0

0

0

0

 

Legal Services

(50)

(115)

(65)

0

Reduction in staff cost projection.

Democratic & Civic Office Services

0

(9)

(9)

0

Minor variances.

Life Events

201

183

(18)

0

Further income pressures.

Performance, Improvement & Programmes

(6)

(6)

0

0

 

Communications

20

96

76

0

Additional Covid-19 costs for new lockdowns.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

0

 

Total Strategy, Governance & Law

165

149

(16)

0

 

Bulk Insurance Premia

0

0

0

0

 

Capital Financing Costs

(753)

(1,219)

(466)

0

Interest receivable from increased balances.

Levies & Precepts

0

0

0

0

 

Unallocated Contingency & Risk Provisions

(217)

(217)

0

0

 

Unringfenced Grants

(26,712)

(23,283)

3,429

3,429

Transfer of homelessness and rough sleeper accommodation and support costs grant to Housing and Adult Social Care.

Other Corporate Items

3,016

2,455

(561)

(600)

Reduced forecast spend on PPE.

Further Financial Recovery Measures

0

0

0

0

 

Total Corporately-held Budgets

(24,666)

(22,264)

2,402

2,829

 

Total General Fund

30

(4,812)

(4,842)

(6,284)